The U.S. military won't comment on these weapons, but defense analysts note that high-powered microwave and agent defeat weapons have been in development for some years and it is probable that their development has been accelerated in recent months as the crisis with Iraq has intensified. Experts point to the rapid development of the bunker-busting thermobaric bombs used in Afghanistan as a precedent for using weapons still in the development stage.
Given such uncertainly, U.S. forces will at minimum be targeting enemy
missile launchers. However, the mobile nature of many missile launchers makes
them hard to find and harder to hit. It’s likely then, Pike predicts, that
American forces will target any suspect bio/chem facilities in the early hours
of the war. But whether HPM weapons should be used in the vicinity of civilian facilities
such as hospitals or mosques is a big issue that will be difficult to address.
"Do I also kill all the Iraqis with pacemakers in a nearby mosque?" Pike remarks.
"That's the type of question the U.S. will need to answer." [For more on
HPM safety, see "Do
Microwave Weapons Kill?] Also potentially available are vehicle-mounted microwave guns, prototypes
of which were developed by the U.S. Air Force at its Kirtland, New Mexico,
base even before 9/11. A microwave gun would employ an electrical pulse to
create a stream of high-energy particles that are accelerated into a cavity.
The cavity causes the charged particles to "bunch" or accelerate coherently,
creating electromagnetic radiation in the form of microwaves. A specially
designed antenna would then target incoming missiles or mobile launchers.
Early versions of HPM weapons have already been used. During the Gulf
War, the U.S. Navy reportedly used experimental warheads that converted conventional
explosive energy into a microwave pulse that disrupted Iraqi communications
networks. Col. William G. Heckathorn, former deputy director of the Directed
Energy Directorate of the Air Force Research Laboratory, is credited with
the innovation. The U.S. Air Force is also studying how to incorporate microwave
weapons into its next generation of unmanned airborne planes. HPM weapons may very well disrupt computer systems and other electronic
devices that Iraqi command centers would use to activate chemical and biological
weapons. Their main weakness is the inability of U.S forces to judge their
effectiveness in a timely fashion. "Battle damage assessment of HPM weapons
is the biggest problem," Levi notes.
Destroying the actual chemical or biological material
is a task that may fall to agent defeat weapons being developed by the U.S.
Navy and Lockheed Martin under a program originally dubbed Vulcan Fire and
now spearheaded by the secretive U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Agency. The
HTI-J-1000, as it is called, would be the fill inside the penetrating warhead
used on the massive 2,000-pound GBU-24 laser-guided bomb and BLU-109 Joint
Direct Attack Munition (JDAM) used to attack underground bunkers. The titanium
boron lithium perchlorate intermetallic fill would ignite to become a high
temperature incendiary (HTI) that relies on a series of chemical reactions
to increase the temperature inside the targeted bunker to 1000 degrees Fahrenheit,
causing storage tanks to explode. The intense heat destroys biological and
chemical agents inside the tanks. In addition, the HTI-J-1000 chemical reactions
produce byproducts like chlorine, fluorine and a variety of acids that neutralize
chem/bio agents much as disinfectants would. All these reactions occur at
very low pressure to prevent the chem/bio agents from dispersing into the
surrounding area before they can be eliminated. Twenty HTI-J-1000 weapons were scheduled for readiness
by 2004 so prototypes are probably available if needed for a war in Iraq,
eerily following the same development cycle as the prototypical microwave
weapons used in the Gulf War and the thermobaric bombs used in Afghanistan.
Whether these weapons prove to be the magic bullets needed against chem/bio
weapons, however, remains to be seen.
Whether U.S. troops will face a biological
or chemical threat in Iraq is unclear, say defense analysts like John Pike,
director of GlobalSecurity.Org, and Michael Levi director of the strategic
security project of the Federation of American Scientists. They note the
failure of United Nations inspectors to find chem/bio weapons in Iraq as
well as persistent rumors that such weapons have been moved to another country.
"What everyone says is that they've moved the stuff out of the country,"
Levi comments. "If we find their weapons of mass destruction, we're probably
going to find them in Syria." Pike, meanwhile, credits Israeli intelligence
services as the source of those rumors, calling it a disinformation campaign
whose purpose is to put Syria next on the American hit list. "I have difficulty
understanding how Israeli intelligence would have come into possession of
such information," Pike states.